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2022 Senate Election Forecast | FiveThirtyEight

 

We simulate the election 40,000 instances to see who wins most frequently. This pattern of 100 outcomes offers you an concept of the vary of situations our mannequin considers attainable.

Republicans win

Democrats win

No Electoral Faculty majority, Home decides election

When Republicans and Democrats maintain 50 seats every, management of the Senate is decided by the celebration that holds the vice presidency. If every celebration holds 50 seats after the 2022 election, Democrats will management the Senate.

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